Tuesday, January 25, 2011

SN Poll Iowa: Huckabee in the lead

When asked for which of the potential candidates they would most likely vote, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee received the largest share of the vote with 28%. Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney came in second with 19%, and former Alaska governor Sarah Palin secured third place with 12.44%, narrowly edging out former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, who received 12.20% of the vote. About 18% of the respondents were undecided.
Strategic National surveyed a random sample of typical Iowa caucus goers. The statewide, automated poll had a total of 410 respondents, 52% female and 48% male. It was conducted on January 18, 2010, and has a margin of error of +/- 4.8%.
Click the icon below for full analysis.

8 comments:

Anonymous said...

Huckabee and Romney BOTH in 1st place with a MOE of 4.8%. Looks like Iowa could go either way.

Looks like Palin has a challenger for 3rd, 'Undecided'!

zeke

John said...

Margin of error is overall. Try to remind that in the future; it does not mean that every single candidate's number can be 4.8 % off.

OhioJOE said...

Actually, statistically speaking, the 4.8% only applies to candidates exactly at 50%. Mr. Romney is a long way from 50%

Dave said...

Any way you parse these numbers, they tell you that Mitt can win Iowa, while the NH numbers tell you that ONLY Mitt can win NH.

BOSMAN said...

It's looking like Romney has a shot at taking Iowa.

Huckabee has a shot at coming in......NH NAH!
Huckabee has a shot at coming in......NV NAH!
Huckabee has a shot at coming in......AZ NAH!

Huckabee has a shot at coming in 2nd or 3rd in SC Maybe!!

OhioJOE said...

"Any way you parse these numbers, they tell you that Mitt can win Iowa," Pure Bunk, if I ever heard it. You have to do a lot of parsing to figure that all Undecided will go to Mr. Romney.

OhioJOE said...

"It's looking like Romney has a shot at taking Iowa." Sure, things can change and he has a shot, but he has a lot greater shot at losing AZ.

Revolution 2010 said...

OJ,

re, Bosman comment,

As bad as Huckabee's numbers are in NH, NV,AZ, SC, there not as bad as Saracuda's!