Friday, December 3, 2010

PALIN - A GOP ROUTE TO FAILURE

Palin not seen as electable (From PPP 11/29/2010)

A sobering analysis of why Sarah Palin, former Alaskan Half Governor and Wunderkind Social Media and Reality TV star would be a political disater as the Republican Nominee for President in 2012, from PPP Polling:
"Sarah Palin might think she could get elected President in 2012, but few Americans agree. Only 28% of voters in the country think that Palin is capable of defeating Barack Obama while 60% think she is not and 12% aren't sure.

What might be most troubling for Palin within those numbers is that less than half of Republicans think she's capable of beating Obama- 48% think she would be able to, 37% think she would not be able to, and 15% have no opinion. Republicans continue overwhelmingly to like Palin- 67% have a favorable opinion of her- but a pretty large number of them have serious electability concerns about her.

Many GOP voters who admire Palin may be left having to decide whether it's more important to them to defeat Barack Obama or to help advance her political career and that may prove to be too high a hurdle for her to overcome.

At the same time these numbers also suggest a risk of complacency for Democrats if Palin were to win the 2012 nomination. 82% of them say they think Palin's incapable of beating Obama to just 12% who think she could. Palin trails Obama by 9 points in a hypothetical contest right now. That's a lot of ground to make up in the next two years but if voters continue to be unhappy with the state of the economy and Democrats take an Obama/Palin match up for granted something unexpected could happen. If Palin does win the nomination Obama will need to find a way to convince his troops to work as hard as they did in 2008 anyway and not leave anything to chance."

Full results here.

4 comments:

BOSMAN said...

I hope Sarah doesn't have the same delusions of grandeur as her followers. I'm hoping she's SMART ENOUGH to realize, what the hell is the good of winning the nomination, if I can't win the general?

She has shown a few spirts of reality in the past:

Sarah Palin: If I Become A Distraction I Won’t Run

Anonymous said...

Call Me, Seriously: Insider Says Hasselbeck 'Feels Used' By Palin

Bill589 said...

Palin’s rising in polls. Obambi is falling.
She’ll beat Obama in ‘12. Don’t worry about it.

cyclin8 said...

I'm not a prophet..don't know everything, but one thing I do know is that Palin won't be our candidate. We're not that stupid..... some are, but not enough to run her as our candidate.