Mitt Romney 36.85% (29%)
Rick Santorum 32.53% (29%)
Ron Paul 18.08% (12%)
Newt Gingrich 12.53% (10%)
Survey of 984 likely primary voters was conducted February 26, 2012. The MOE is +/- 3.12%.The full story is HERE.
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This poll is very interesting. If you don't look at it closely, you see Romney has a 4 point lead on Santorum. If you delve into the numbers a little bit here is what you find:
ReplyDeleteThere were 20% undecided a week ago.
This week we have 99.99% accounted for in each of the candidates.
Romney has a 7.85 point increase.
Santorum has a 3.53 point increase.
Paul has a 6.08 point increase.
Gingrich has a 2.53 point increase.
In other words, most undecided broke for Romney (8 points) and Paul (6 points). Santorum and Gingrich didn't do too well splitting the other 6 points of increase. In other words, a very strong showing for Romney and a strong showing for Paul.