I think Mitt Romney would be slightly crazy to not make a full hearted effort to win the Iowa Caucus. Here's why:
-If Mike Huckabee doesn't run, Romney would start out tied for the lead in the state! If you allocate all of Huckabee's supporters to who they said was their second choice on our poll there earlier this month you would end up with Romney and Sarah Palin tied for the lead at 23% each with Newt Gingrich at 18% and no one else with double digits. This is not a state where Romney would have to be coming from behind. Choosing not to compete there would basically be an admission that you assume you're going to blow it.
Click on the PPP icon below for the full story:
I'm sure PPP has Romney's best interests at heart.
ReplyDeleteIf this is true, Romney still isn't convinced that NH is a lock.
ReplyDeleteFormer Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney (R) spent a lot of time and treasure in Iowa in 2008, and all he got was a lousy second-place finish behind Mike Huckabee (R).
So as Romney contemplates kicking off another bid for president, his team is considering a new approach. Sources tell us Romney's strategists have spoken with potential consultants about skipping the Iowa caucuses altogether and launching a campaign from New Hampshire.
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RWN,
ReplyDeleteRomney is not skipping Iowa!
Why would he skip Iowa when the polls have him in a strong second place?
ReplyDeletezeke
I agree that he will not skip Iowa. Especially if DeMint jumps in and takes SC off the table.
ReplyDeleteHe would be foolish to skip Iowa.
ReplyDeleteThere is nothing to lose. He is not looked upon as winning there anyway. If he comes in a strong second, wins NH, NV, and he's on his way.