Arizona is one of the Obama campaign's dream states for 2012 but their chances there aren't looking very good right now- Obama has poor approval numbers in the state and trails Mitt Romney by a healthy margin.
Obama's Arizona approval rating is only 41% with 54% of voters disapproving of him. A higher than normal 22% of Democrats disapprove of the job he's doing, and with independents he's at a pretty bad 35/57 spread. Obama's seen a fair amount of erosion of his numbers in the state since early May, when his approval came down at a 46/50 spread.
Obama trails a hypothetical match up with Mitt Romney, 49-42. That 7 point spread is pretty similar to the 9 points Obama lost to John McCain by in 2008. Romney leads Obama by 11 points with independents and takes an impressive 16% of the Democratic vote.
Head-To-Head:
Mitt Romney 49% (+7)
Barack Obama 42%
Ron Paul 44% (+1)
Barack Obama 43%
Barack Obama 45%
Newt Gingrich 45% ( - )
Barack Obama 46%
Herman Cain 42% (-4)
Barack Obama 47%
Rick Perry 40% (-7)
PPP surveyed 500 Arizona voters from November 17th to 20th. The margin of error for the survey is +/-4.4%The Full Story is HERE.
The crosstabs can be viewed HERE.
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I don't think a lot of Gingrich supporters really care about electability.
ReplyDeleteThat begs the question - what do Gingrich supporters care about, exactly?
ReplyDeleteNoelle - ABR.
ReplyDeletePathetic, but true.
-Martha
1) Arizona's economy has been harder hit than most.
ReplyDelete2)It hasn't helped to have our former Governor, Janet Napolitano telling us there is nothing to worry about over the border, while the Administration hangs out signs in front of wilderness areas warning people to enter at their own risk due to criminal drug activity.
3)Then the Feds sue the state for trying to protect itself from the constant stream of border crossings. These do not add up to a likely win for Obama in Arizona.
AZ